Top health expert says dire COVID-19 predictions were ‘off’ for UK


A UK professor who worked as a COVID-19 consultant for the government acknowledged that previous predictions about a large-scale surge of the virus in the summer had been asked, adding that the possibility of a new lockdown will not be required.

Last month, Professor Neil Ferguson, an epidemiologist at Imperial College London and advisor to the government, said, said that If epidemic restrictions are lifted, 200,000 cases of the CCP (Communist Party of China) virus could be recorded daily.

but recently Interview With The Times of London, Ferguson said his prediction was “off” because of the Euro Cup final last month.

“During that period we had an artificially increased level of exposure and then all of a sudden it stopped,” he told The Times on Saturday, August 7.

Ferguson, who has sometimes been dubbed “Professor Lockdown” for promoting social distancing measures, also suggested that no new lockdowns would be needed, arguing that higher vaccination The rate contributed to the decline in cases of the CCP virus, which causes COVID-19.

“I think it’s going to be a couple of months very quickly for infections that we live with and manage through vaccination rather than crisis measures,” he said. “I wouldn’t rule it out outright, but I think it’s unlikely we’ll need new lockdowns or even social-distancing measures of the type we’ve ever seen. Of course, if the virus mutates substantially, there are caveats to it. “

But he warned: “I suspect that for many years, we will see additional mortality. Thousands to tens of thousands more people are at risk of dying in winter.”

Ferguson resigned from his government post last year after telling other officials that he had underestimated the UK government’s message on social distancing by meeting with a woman several times.

Late last week, in its weekly survey of infection levels across the UK, the Office for National Statistics said case rates were falling in England, Scotland and Wales, although not Northern Ireland, with the greatest decline among young people. with. age group. For example, in England, the statistics agency found that one in 75 people in private homes had COVID-19 in the week of July 31, down from one in 65 the previous week.

Despite fears among some that the rate of daily cases will reach 100,000 this summer as a result of the more contagious delta variant and the lifting of lockdown restrictions, infections have fallen to nearly 30,000 a day, leading to hospitalizations. numbers have declined. Symptoms of covid 19.

Source: Theepochtimes