NICOLA STURGEON is likely to come out with an overall majority in this week’s Holyrood elections – despite support for an independence referendum waning in Scotland.
A new poll from Sky News shows Scots are now less enthusiastic about the prospect of independence, but also show SNP leader Nicola Sturgeon heading for a majority win in this week’s Holyrood Elections. A new poll by Opinium found Nicola Sturgeon is on course to return as Scotland’s First Minister with a slim overall majority for the country’s leading party.
The latest poll found that support for a second independence referendum is now equally tied at 50-50, once “don’t knows” are excluded.
This is down from 51-49 in the last Sky News poll.
The poll sampled 1,015 Scottish voters between April 28 and May 3.
If the SNP take Holyrood with an overall majority after Thursday’s vote, the proportion of those who want Indyref2 within five years – that is the length of the next Scottish parliament – is 42 percent, down seven points on last month.
The proportion who want Indyref2 within two years has dropped five points to 28 percent.
The proportion who want it within two to five years is down two points at 14 percent.
The poll found 32 percent say there should be no second independence referendum.
In the constituency section, the SNP are in front with 51 percent of the vote, followed by the Tories on 23 percent, Labour on 19 percent and Lib Dems tracking at percent.
In the region section, the SNP are on 41 percent, Tories on 23 percent, Labour on 17 percent, Greens on 8 percent, Lib Dems on 6 percent, and Alex Salmond’s new pro-independence Alba Party on 3 percent.
The findings could encourage Prime Minister Boris Johnson to resist Ms Sturgeon’s demand of a second referendum, something he has been unwilling to even consider so far.
The SNP leader has been adamant about pressing forward with a second independence referendum if given the mandate to do so this week.
Ms Sturgeon told Sky Newsy: “I’m saying if Boris Johnson wants to stop it, he would have to take legal action.
“If Boris Johnson didn’t do that [take legal action to dispute the legal basis of the referendum], by definition it would be a legal referendum.
“If he did do that, the courts would decide.”
Under a ‘Road to Referendum’ blueprint published by the SNP Scottish Government in back in January, Ms Sturgeon outlined her party’s intention pass a referendum bill once the coronavirus pandemic is over, and then demand Mr Johnson agree to a Section 30 order that will pave the way for a second referendum.
If Mr Johnson refuses, Ms Sturgeon is expected to press on regardless.
The full breakdown of predicted seats in Scotland is as follows:
Liberal Democrat: 5